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Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Token Faces Imminent Crash as DeFi TVL Plunges 45%

By Amir Hossein Baghernezhad September 12, 2025 Posted in Crypto

Introduction to Cardano Price

The Cardano price continued rising on Friday, Sept. 12, coinciding with the ongoing crypto market comeback. This upward trend is a notable development in the crypto space, particularly for bitpulse enthusiasts.

Recent Price Movement

The Cardano token rose to $0.90, its highest point in two weeks and about 80% above its lowest level in June. This significant increase has garnered attention from investors and analysts alike, who are now closely watching the token’s performance.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis points to an upcoming crash as a key decentralized finance metric plunges. The daily timeframe chart shows that the Cardano price is rising and slowly approaching the important resistance point at $1. Cardano price chart However, there are signs that the ongoing rally will be short-lived.

Bearish Indicators

ADA is slowly forming a highly bearish rising wedge pattern. The upper side of this pattern links the highest levels since March this year. On the other hand, the lower line connects the lowest swings since June. The two lines are now nearing their confluence level, which may lead to a crash in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Technical indicators also point to a reversal. The Average Directional Index has dropped to 16, its lowest level since May 8 and much lower than the July high of 47. Additionally, the Percentage Price Oscillator and the Relative Strength Index have continued moving downward.

Outlook

Therefore, the most likely outlook is a plunge to key support at $0.51, its lowest swing in June, about 45% below the current level. This bearish outlook will become invalid if the coin rises above the important resistance level at $1.20.

DeFi TVL Plunge

There are three main reasons why the Cardano price may have a bearish breakout in the near term. First, the total value locked in its ecosystem has dropped sharply in the past few months. Its TVL has dropped by 45% from $720 million in December to $383 million today.

Market Concerns

Second, the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may become a “sell-the-news” event. This is a situation where an asset rises ahead of a major event and then drops when it happens. Further, there are concerns about Cardano’s ecosystem as other chains have left it behind.

Ecosystem Challenges

For example, the amount of stablecoins in the network stands at $40 million, a tiny amount for an industry worth over $287 billion in assets. These challenges pose significant risks to the Cardano price, making a bearish breakout more likely in the near term. As the bitpulse market continues to evolve, investors will be closely watching Cardano’s performance and the overall health of its ecosystem.


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