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S&P 500 Snub: Why MicroStrategy Was Rejected Despite 91% Chance of Inclusion, While Robinhood Surprisingly Made the Cut

By Amir Hossein Baghernezhad September 10, 2025 Posted in Crypto

Introduction to S&P 500 Inclusion

The S&P 500 index, a crucial U.S. stock market benchmark, represents the equities of the most powerful corporations. Recently, Coinbase and Block became the first crypto-native companies added to this index. There was speculation that Michael Saylor’s Strategy would be next, with market analyst Jeff Walton predicting a 91% chance of success. However, the committee rejected Strategy, instead approving Robinhood for inclusion.

Importance of Inclusion in the S&P 500

The S&P 500 index is composed of shares of 500 American public companies with the biggest market capitalization. Joining this index comes with significant benefits, including substantial passive income inflows as the company becomes part of the assets basket targeted by huge amounts of retail and institutional investors. For Strategy, this amount was evaluated at over $10 billion. Additionally, a company’s stock prices tend to increase upon inclusion, as seen with Robinhood’s 7% jump after its announcement.

Why Strategy Was Excluded

Strategy’s rejection was surprising and disappointing, given its strong Q2 performance with a $10 billion net income and its status as the biggest corporate Bitcoin holder. The company met all eight criteria for the S&P 500 index but faced issues with its track record, specifically consistent positive Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) earnings. Before 2025, accounting rules for Bitcoin holdings differed, requiring impairment charges without displaying price surges, resulting in GAAP losses for Strategy.

Potential Reasons for Exclusion

Another possible reason for Strategy’s exclusion is Bitcoin’s volatility, as the company’s performance is closely tied to the price of BTC. The committee may have decided that adding Strategy would increase volatility within the index. Furthermore, the committee might prefer to wait for clearer regulations around Bitcoin-focused businesses before granting inclusion. Other possible reasons cited by users include falling MSTR prices and the need for a longer streak of positive quarter reports.

Robinhood’s Surprise Inclusion

On the same day Strategy was excluded, Robinhood Markets was unexpectedly included in the S&P 500 index. This news led to a 7% increase in the HOOD stock price. Despite past controversies, including security breaches and legal disputes, Robinhood has thrived, with its market cap exceeding $100 billion. The company’s diversified revenue sources likely contributed to its prioritized inclusion.

Implications of Inclusion

Robinhood’s inclusion in the S&P 500 signals that the doors are open for cryptocurrency businesses. Retail and institutional investors are gradually embracing the sector. While Strategy’s exclusion was a setback, it is likely that the company will be included in the future, similar to Tesla and Facebook, which had to wait months after meeting the criteria. Michael Saylor’s inclusion in the Bloomberg billionaire index is a testament to his achievements, and the future of crypto-native companies in the S&P 500 looks promising.

Conclusion

The inclusion of crypto-native companies in the S&P 500 index is a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency sector. As more companies like Robinhood join the index, it is likely that others, including Strategy, will follow. The benefits of inclusion, including increased visibility and investment, will contribute to the growth and adoption of cryptocurrency businesses. For the latest news and updates on the cryptocurrency market, visit bitpulse.


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